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THE WEATHER BEAT · OCT 21

A Bering Sea storm due in western Alaska Friday: Coastal Flood Warning for Hooper Bay, Blizzard Warnings on the Seward Peninsula, gusts to 75 mph

A 960 mb Bering Sea low brings water 5 to 7.5 feet above the high tide line to Hooper Bay Friday, blizzards on the Seward Peninsula, gusts to 75 mph.

Hooper Bay, Alaska
The town of Hooper Bay, Alaska, photographed on 27 August 2002. Photo: CTLiotta, Wikimedia Commons, CC0.

Key points

  • NWS Fairbanks issued a Coastal Flood Warning for the Yukon Delta coast, in effect from 4 a.m. Friday to 10 p.m. AKDT Sunday. Water at Hooper Bay is expected 5 to 7.5 feet above the normal high tide line, and 2 to 4.5 feet elsewhere on that coast.
  • Blizzard Warnings cover the Seward Peninsula from 4 a.m. Friday into Saturday, with gusts to 60 to 65 mph and up to 15 inches of snow inland. High Wind Warnings from two offices allow for gusts up to 75 mph on the Kuskokwim Delta and the northern Bristol Bay coast.
  • Fairbanks forecasters describe a 960 mb low moving into the eastern Bering Sea Thursday night. They name coastal flooding and erosion as their main concern, and say another storm may follow Sunday night into Monday.

The Bering Sea gets a quiet day first. In its 3:44 p.m. AKDT Wednesday discussion, the Fairbanks office called the next 24 to 48 hours "relatively quiet," with some of the coldest air of the season over the Interior. The same discussion then describes a 960 mb low moving into the eastern Bering Sea Thursday night. Its warm front carries what the forecaster called "an anomalous atmospheric river," and it is running into cold air already over western Alaska. As a result, the coast is expected to get heavy, wet snow first, which turns to rain by Saturday morning.

Hooper Bay faces the most serious risk. The Coastal Flood Warning issued at 3:09 p.m. says "beach property, and the lowest buildings will be inundated," and that the roads to the airstrip and to the larger parts of town will likely flood. According to the warning, water peaks with Friday's high tides and then falls slowly through the weekend. Wind is the other part of the forecast. The Fairbanks discussion expects gusts "widespread around 50 to 70 mph with the strongest being in the Yukon Delta and St. Lawrence Island."

To the south, the Anchorage office wrote at 4:32 p.m. that even inland Bethel "is on track to see winds gusting to 60 to 70 mph for Friday afternoon and Friday night." The same discussion says its Coastal Flood Watch was raised to an advisory for Kipnuk, Kwigillingok and Kongiganak, for water 2 to 3 feet above the normal highest tide line around the Friday high tides near 10 a.m. and 10 p.m. It also explains why that coast is not expecting more. Unlike earlier storms with southwesterly winds, this one blows from the south and south-southeast. Because of the shape of the coastline, that direction limits how much fetch is pointed at the Kuskokwim Delta coast. Cold Bay and King Cove are still on a watch rather than a warning. Forecasters put the chance of 75 mph gusts there at 40 to 60 percent, because it is not certain the wind will line up with the southeast to northwest gap that speeds it up.

The Fairbanks discussion's synopsis still refers to "watches," even though the office had already raised the products below to warnings when it was written. The table follows the products.

PlaceProductExpectedWhen (AKDT)
Hooper Bay, Yukon Delta coastCoastal Flood Warningwater 5 to 7.5 ft above normal high tide line at Hooper Bay, 2 to 4.5 ft elsewhere4 a.m. Fri to 10 p.m. Sun
Yukon Delta coastHigh Wind WarningSE 30 to 40 mph, gusts to 65 mph4 a.m. Fri to 4 p.m. Sat
St. Lawrence IslandHigh Wind WarningSE 35 to 45 mph, gusts to 60 mph10 p.m. Thu to 4 p.m. Sat
Kuskokwim Delta, Platinum, Goodnews Bay, northern Bristol Bay coastHigh Wind WarningS to SE 35 to 50 mph, gusts to 75 mph7 a.m. Fri to 4 a.m. Sat
Kipnuk, Kwigillingok, KongiganakCoastal Flood Advisory (per the Anchorage discussion)water 2 to 3 ft above normal highest tide line8 a.m. Fri to 1 a.m. Sat
Cold Bay, King CoveHigh Wind WatchSE 40 to 50 mph, gusts to 75 mph possibleFri morning to Sat morning
Interior Seward PeninsulaBlizzard Warning8 to 15 in snow, gusts to 65 mph4 a.m. Fri to 10 a.m. Sat
Shishmaref, Bering Strait coastBlizzard Warningup to 3 in snow, gusts to 60 mph4 a.m. Fri to 1 a.m. Sat
Southern Seward Peninsula coastBlizzard Warning2 to 6 in snow, gusts to 60 mph4 a.m. Fri to 1 a.m. Sat
Noatak Valley, Western Brooks Range south slopesWinter Storm Warning10 to 20 in snow, gusts to 55 mph4 p.m. Fri to 4 p.m. Sun
Upper Kobuk ValleysWinter Storm Warning4 to 10 in snow, gusts to 50 mph10 p.m. Fri to 4 p.m. Sun
Point HopeWinter Storm Watchup to 4 in snow, gusts to 65 mphlate Thu night to Sun afternoon
Bettles, Coldfoot, WisemanWinter Storm Watch6 to 10 in snowSat morning to Sun afternoon

*Sources: NWS Fairbanks Coastal Flood Warning (3:09 p.m. AKDT), Blizzard and Winter Storm Warnings (3:06 p.m.), High Wind Warnings (2:50 p.m.), Winter Storm Watch for Bettles, Coldfoot and Wiseman (2:37 p.m.), all October 21; Winter Storm Watch for Point Hope (2:39 p.m. October 20); Area Forecast Discussion (3:44 p.m. October 21). NWS Anchorage High Wind Warning and High Wind Watch (1:14 p.m.) and Area Forecast Discussion (4:32 p.m.), October 21, 2026.*

The Fairbanks discussion looks past this weekend too. It says there is "increasing confidence for another round of coastal flooding, heavy rain, and strong southwest winds" with a second system arriving Sunday into Monday.

Elsewhere

On the Outer Banks, the Hatteras Island Coastal Flood Warning from NWS Newport/Morehead City now runs until 8 p.m. EDT Thursday. It calls for 2 to 4 feet of inundation in low-lying areas. Its 8:28 p.m. EDT update says NC-12 between the Basnight Bridge and Rodanthe "remains closed," and it repeats the possibility of being stranded on Hatteras Island for multiple days. NWS Wakefield has Coastal Flood Warnings for Virginia Beach until 9 a.m. EDT Thursday, and for Dorchester, Wicomico and Somerset counties in Maryland and Westmoreland and Northumberland counties in Virginia until 2 p.m. EDT Thursday.

This is a summary of official warnings, not emergency information. For live warnings see weather.gov and your local officials. Fairbanks forecast office: https://www.weather.gov/afg/ Anchorage forecast office: https://www.weather.gov/afc/

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