THE WEATHER BEAT · OCT 18
Winter Storm Watches for Interior Alaska: up to 30 inches possible in the Eastern Alaska Range, 4 to 8 in Fairbanks
NWS Fairbanks says a Gulf of Alaska low with an atmospheric river could bring heavy snow Monday to Wednesday, deepest in the Eastern Alaska Range.

Key points
- NWS Fairbanks put much of Interior Alaska under Winter Storm Watches at 6:06 a.m. AKDT Sunday. Fairbanks, Nenana and Delta Junction could get 4 to 8 inches or more of snow between Monday and Wednesday afternoon.
- The heaviest totals are possible in the Eastern Alaska Range: 18 to 30 inches above 2,500 feet and 12 to 18 inches below it, with gusts to 40 mph and travel "very difficult to impossible," the watch says.
- Fairbanks says a new low in the Gulf of Alaska, carrying an atmospheric river, will drive the snow. Separately, NWS Juneau expects 2 to 4 inches of rain over Juneau and Gustavus on Tuesday.
Yesterday
A cold front crossed the Interior on Saturday night and was still leaving the state on Sunday morning. NWS Fairbanks wrote at 6:39 a.m. AKDT Sunday that scattered snow showers and flurries would end behind it, leaving the Interior cooler and drier for a day. Down in the Panhandle, NWS Juneau wrote Saturday afternoon that on Friday a storm had already brought the Salmon River, Jordan Creek and Montana Creek near or into minor flood stage.
Today, officially
The quiet won't last long. In its Sunday morning discussion, NWS Fairbanks describes the setup as "the fall of dominoes." A low in the Bering Sea heads for the mainland and helps a new low grow in the Gulf of Alaska. That second low "will be accompanied with an atmospheric river," which the office says will bring heavy snow to the Eastern Alaska Range and moderate to heavy snow to the Central and Eastern Interior from Monday through Wednesday afternoon.
Wind arrives before the snow. Fairbanks expects southerly gusts of 50 to 60 mph in the Alaska Range passes early Monday, peaking at Isabel Pass, and has a Wind Advisory up there. Snow should begin south of the range Monday afternoon and then spread north. In Fairbanks the watch text expects a round of light snow Monday afternoon and night, possibly mixed briefly with rain, and then heavier snow building through Tuesday into Wednesday. It says the Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning commutes could be affected.
The deepest snow is possible in the mountains. Above 2,500 feet in the Eastern Alaska Range the watch calls for 18 to 30 inches, and more above pass level. Between Tanacross and Dot Lake, locally 12 to 18 inches is possible. To the south, NWS Anchorage issued a Winter Weather Advisory for 4 to 8 inches in the Northern Copper Valley, which includes Paxson and the eastern Denali Highway.
The Panhandle gets rain instead. NWS Juneau expects a strong storm over the northern Panhandle from Monday night through Tuesday, with 2 to 4 inches over about 36 hours for Juneau and Gustavus. It says the impacts could look like Friday's on the small creeks, and that the totals "will likely change as the event moves closer." Juneau's outlook does not say this is the same storm Fairbanks describes, so it is reported here on its own.
| Winter Storm Watch, NWS Fairbanks, 6:06 a.m. AKDT Sun Oct 18 | Snow possible | Gusts | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Alaska Range, above 2,500 ft | 18 to 30 in, more above pass level | 40 mph | Mon morning to late Wed night |
| Eastern Alaska Range, below 2,500 ft | 12 to 18 in | 40 mph | Mon morning to late Wed night |
| Denali Borough | 8 to 12 in, more above pass level | 40 mph | Mon afternoon to Wed afternoon |
| Delta Junction, Fortymile Country, Upper Tanana Valley | 6 to 12 in; 12 to 18 in Tanacross to Dot Lake; 2 to 5 in Northway to the Alcan Border | 35 mph | Mon evening to Wed afternoon |
| Upper Chena River Valley, White Mountains, Eagle Summit | 5 to 10 in | 35 mph, higher elevations | Tue morning to Wed afternoon |
| Fairbanks North Star Borough and Nenana | 4 to 8 in | Tue morning to Wed afternoon | |
| Yukon Flats | 4 to 8 in | Tue morning to Wed afternoon |
| Other products | Office, issued | Figures |
|---|---|---|
| Winter Weather Advisory, Northern Copper Valley | NWS Anchorage, 4:54 a.m. AKDT Sun | 4 to 8 in, 4 a.m. Mon to 4 p.m. Tue |
| Hydrologic Outlook, Juneau and Glacier Bay | NWS Juneau, 2:08 p.m. AKDT Sat | 2 to 4 in of rain over 36 hours, Mon night to Tue |
| Area Forecast Discussion | NWS Fairbanks, 6:39 a.m. AKDT Sun | gusts 50 to 60 mph in Alaska Range passes early Mon |
*Source: NWS Fairbanks Winter Storm Watches and Area Forecast Discussion (Oct 18), NWS Anchorage Winter Weather Advisory (Oct 18), NWS Juneau Hydrologic Outlook (Oct 17). A watch means heavy snow is possible, not yet expected; the totals above are the watch's own "possible" ranges.*
This is a morning summary, not emergency information. For live warnings see weather.gov and your local officials. NWS Fairbanks: https://www.weather.gov/afg/
The rock's live forecast for the places in this story
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